Can SCHD Replace Your Bonds? We Crash-Tested It Three Ways

In evaluating the role of a safety sleeve in investment portfolios, the article contrasts SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF) with traditional bond funds like BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market). SCHD offers lower volatility and a growing dividend, outperforming BND during recent downturns. The key takeaway for high-income professionals is to consider SCHD as a potential alternative to bonds for stability and income, particularly in uncertain market conditions.

First, What We're Comparing

SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF, launched October 2011) holds about 100 U.S. dividend-paying stocks. They're screened for dividend history and financial quality: names like Qualcomm, Texas Instruments, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola and Merck. It's still a stock fund.

BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market) holds thousands of U.S. investment-grade bonds: Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities and corporate debt. SGOV (iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF) holds U.S. Treasury bills that mature within three months. It behaves much like cash, though it is a fund rather than an insured deposit. VOO tracks the S&P 500 and stands in for “the stock market” here.

A portfolio's safety sleeve is its non-stock part: the bonds, T-bills or cash that sit next to the stocks. This piece is about what that sleeve is for.

The Pitch

The case for swapping bonds for SCHD rests on three points: SCHD swings less than the S&P 500, it pays a growing dividend, and in 2022 it returned -3.2% while BND had its worst calendar year since it launched in 2007 (-13.1%).

That argument isn't dumb. Bonds have had a rough stretch, and SCHD's record is real. So we tested the claim against actual crashes instead of arguing about it.

A Safety Sleeve Has Two Jobs

  • Job 1: Not fall much when stocks fall. It should hold its value during a crash.
  • Job 2: Be the thing you sell. When bills come due in a crash, you sell the sleeve so you aren't forced to sell stocks at the bottom.

“Swings less than the S&P 500” describes low beta, meaning a fund tends to move less than the market. That covers only a weaker version of Job 1: falling somewhat less. It says nothing about Job 2. A fund that falls 30% while the market falls 34% has low-ish beta, but it's still down 30% when you need to sell it.

Performance and yield figures are historical and may change. Total return includes price movement and distributions where available. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Yield is not the same as total return.

The Four Funds at a Glance

FundWhat it holdsExpense ratioTrailing yield (approx.)
SCHD~100 U.S. dividend stocks0.06%3.2%
VOOS&P 500 stocks0.03%1.0%
BNDU.S. investment-grade bonds0.03%4.1%
SGOV0-3 month Treasury bills0.09%3.7%

This is educational content, not investment advice. Suitability depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation and time horizon.

One detail in that table: BND currently yields more than SGOV (about 4.1% vs 3.7%). That extra yield is what a bond fund pays for taking duration risk, the risk that showed up in 2022.

Three of these are built to grow or pay income. Only one, SGOV, is built to hold still. That difference is what the rest of this piece is about.

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Disclosure: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. References to specific securities, tickers, companies, or strategies are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer to buy or sell any security or financial product. We do not provide individualized advice or act as a fiduciary. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. We may hold positions in securities mentioned. You should independently verify information before acting on it and consult a qualified professional as needed.